Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIbiza to win51% · @1.91
Double chanceIbiza or draw78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.89
Ibiza vs Alcorcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Ibiza v Alcorcon in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Palladium Can Misses. In the table, Ibiza are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Alcorcon are 5th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ibiza, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Eldense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Alcorcon, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Algeciras, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza 1.5 xG, Alcorcon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza 51%, draw 27%, Alcorcon 22%.
Lower-risk option: Ibiza or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza 1–1 Alcorcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ibiza51%fair 1.97 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Alcorcon22%fair 4.54 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.49Ibiza xG
0.94Alcorcon xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ibiza 1.5 – 0.9 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ibiza
Alcorcon
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+7%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.75
1.20
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win
51%
1.97
1.91
Double chance
Ibiza or draw
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Ibiza (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Alcorcon +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Ibiza to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Ibiza – last 5
LLWLW
22 Mar
@ Eldense
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Marbella
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Eldense
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Alcorcon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ibiza vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alcorcon 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 1–1 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Alcorcon?
Ibiza vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Palladium Can Misses.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona1
Eldense2
Marbella0