Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAlgeciras to win47% · @2.15
Double chanceAlgeciras or draw74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.29
Algeciras vs Tarazona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Algeciras v Tarazona in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Current form
Algeciras, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Villarreal II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Tarazona, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Eldense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Algeciras, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Tarazona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeciras 1.4 xG, Tarazona 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeciras 47%, draw 26%, Tarazona 26%.
Lower-risk option: Algeciras or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Algeciras or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeciras 1–0 Tarazona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeciras47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
Tarazona26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
2.29Expected goals
1.41Algeciras xG
0.88Tarazona xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.4 – 0.9 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Algeciras
Tarazona
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+3%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.70
0.93
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win
47%
2.11
2.15
Double chance
Algeciras or draw
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Algeciras (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Tarazona +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Algeciras to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Algeciras – last 6
LDWWDL
12 Apr
@ Villarreal II
0–4
L
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 5
LLDLW
29 Mar
vs Eldense
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Tarazona.
Our pick is Algeciras or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Algeciras vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tarazona 26%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Tarazona?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Tarazona?
Algeciras vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Eldense0
Sabadell0