Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultEldense to win53% · @1.73
Double chanceEldense or draw79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.95
Eldense vs FC Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Eldense against FC Cartagena at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT.
Current form
Eldense, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Europa Fc, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
FC Cartagena, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tarazona, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eldense 1.5 xG, FC Cartagena 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eldense 53%, draw 26%, FC Cartagena 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eldense 1–1 FC Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eldense53%fair 1.88 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.20
FC Cartagena21%fair 4.68 · @4.80
2.39Expected goals
1.48Eldense xG
0.92FC Cartagena xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.5 – 0.9 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Eldense
FC Cartagena
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+9%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.63
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eldense to win
53%
1.88
1.73
Double chance
Eldense or draw
79%
1.27
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Eldense (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
FC Cartagena +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Eldense to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eldense / FT Eldense
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Eldense – last 5
WWWLD
3 Apr
vs Europa Fc
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tarazona
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Ibiza
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Villarreal II
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 5
DDWWW
8 Mar
@ Tarazona
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Eldense have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Cartagena 21%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Eldense 1–1 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Eldense vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Tarazona0
Sabadell0