Value bet: Marbella to win @ 2.33 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMarbella to win ✓46% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Marbella vs Gimnastic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Marbella v Gimnastic in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Banús Football Center.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 4–5 defeat to Atlético Madrid II, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Gimnastic, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Algeciras, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Marbella, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.6 xG, Gimnastic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 46%, draw 25%, Gimnastic 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Marbella to win @2.33 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Gimnastic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella46%fair 2.16 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Gimnastic28%fair 3.52 · @2.95
2.67Expected goals
1.61Marbella xG
1.06Gimnastic xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.6 – 1.1 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marbella
Gimnastic
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+13%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.00
1.08
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✓
46%
2.16
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Marbella (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Gimnastic +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
LLWWDW
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Algeciras
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 4
LDLW
22 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Antequera
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Gimnastic.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marbella vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Marbella have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnastic 28%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Gimnastic?
Marbella vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Tarazona0
Eldense0
Sabadell0