Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSabadell to win57% · @1.67
Double chanceSabadell or draw83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.07
Sabadell vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sabadell welcome Hércules to Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 19 April (17:15 WAT).
Current form
Sabadell, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Betis II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hércules, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cacahuatique, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabadell 1.5 xG, Hércules 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabadell 57%, draw 26%, Hércules 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabadell 1–0 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabadell57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Hércules17%fair 5.83 · @5.10
2.30Expected goals
1.52Sabadell xG
0.78Hércules xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.5 – 0.8 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sabadell
Hércules
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-2%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.87
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win
57%
1.76
1.67
Double chance
Sabadell or draw
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sabadell (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Hércules +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sabadell to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Sabadell – last 6
LDDDWL
5 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Villarreal II
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
LLWLWD
9 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Alcorcon
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Marbella
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Real Murcia
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Hércules.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sabadell vs Hércules?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hércules 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 1–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Hércules?
Sabadell vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Tarazona0
Eldense0