Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fuenlabrada travel to face Navalcarnero on Sunday 3 May in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, with Estadio Municipal Mariano González the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Navalcarnero, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Colonia Moscardó, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fuenlabrada, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rayo Majadahonda, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.7 xG, Fuenlabrada 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 50%, draw 24%, Fuenlabrada 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–0 Fuenlabrada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navalcarnero50%fair 1.98 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Fuenlabrada25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
2.62Expected goals
1.66Navalcarnero xG
0.96Fuenlabrada xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.7 – 1.0 Fuenlabrada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Navalcarnero
Fuenlabrada
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+20%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-1%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.95
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Navalcarnero (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Fuenlabrada +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Navalcarnero to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Recent results
Navalcarnero – last 6
DWLLLW
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Elche II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuenlabrada – last 6
DWLLWD
26 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Elche II
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Fuenlabrada.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fuenlabrada 25%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–0 Fuenlabrada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Intercity2
Colonia Moscardó0
Elche II1
Quintanar del Rey3
Orihuela2
Rayo Majadahonda3
Rayo Vallecano II0
CD Coria2
Socuéllamos1
Las Palmas II1
Tenerife II1