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Rayo Majadahonda v Rayo Vallecano II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Cerro del Espino
Rayo Majadahonda 77%Draw 17%Rayo Vallecano II 7% Expected goals 2.24 – 0.58
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultRayo Majadahonda to win ✓77% · @1.10
Double chanceRayo Majadahonda or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.99

Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Rayo Majadahonda against Rayo Vallecano II at Estadio Cerro del Espino. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fuenlabrada, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Rayo Vallecano II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Socuéllamos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rayo Majadahonda, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rayo Vallecano II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Majadahonda 2.2 xG, Rayo Vallecano II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 40%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Majadahonda 77%, draw 17%, Rayo Vallecano II 7%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rayo Majadahonda77%fair 1.30 · @1.10
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @6.20
Rayo Vallecano II7%fair 14.96 · @21.00
2.83Expected goals
2.24Rayo Majadahonda xG
0.58Rayo Vallecano II xG
40%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 2.2 – 0.6 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Rayo MajadahondaRayo Vallecano II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average+4%-33%
Goals conceded vs average-14%+28%
Our expected goals here2.230.67

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRayo Majadahonda to win ✓77%1.301.10
Double chanceRayo Majadahonda or draw ✓93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betRayo Majadahonda (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapRayo Majadahonda -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreRayo Majadahonda to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultRayo Majadahonda ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda ✓51%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11%8.99–

Recent results

Rayo Majadahonda – last 6

DWWLDW
26 Apr@ Fuenlabrada0–0D
19 Apr@ Elche II1–0W
5 Apr@ Navalcarnero3–2W
29 Marvs RSD Alcalá1–2L
22 Mar@ Intercity1–1D
8 Mar@ Orihuela3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rayo Vallecano II – last 6

LLLDLL
26 Aprvs Socuéllamos0–2L
19 Apr@ RSD Alcalá0–3L
29 Marvs Getafe II0–4L
15 Marvs Orihuela0–0D
8 Mar@ Colonia Moscardó0–4L
1 Marvs Tenerife II1–4L
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Rayo Vallecano II.

Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?

On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rayo Vallecano II 7%.

How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our predicted score is Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.