Double chanceRayo Majadahonda or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.99
Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Rayo Majadahonda against Rayo Vallecano II at Estadio Cerro del Espino. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Rayo Majadahonda, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fuenlabrada, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Socuéllamos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rayo Majadahonda, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Majadahonda 2.2 xG, Rayo Vallecano II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 40%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Majadahonda 77%, draw 17%, Rayo Vallecano II 7%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Majadahonda77%fair 1.30 · @1.10
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @6.20
Rayo Vallecano II7%fair 14.96 · @21.00
2.83Expected goals
2.24Rayo Majadahonda xG
0.58Rayo Vallecano II xG
40%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 2.2 – 0.6 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rayo Majadahonda
Rayo Vallecano II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+4%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.23
0.67
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✓
77%
1.30
1.10
Double chance
Rayo Majadahonda or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Rayo Majadahonda (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Majadahonda -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Rayo Majadahonda to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Rayo Majadahonda ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
11%
8.99
–
Recent results
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
DWWLDW
26 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Elche II
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
3–2
W
29 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Intercity
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Orihuela
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano II – last 6
LLLDLL
26 Apr
vs Socuéllamos
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Orihuela
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Tenerife II
1–4
L
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Rayo Vallecano II.
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rayo Vallecano II 7%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our predicted score is Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.