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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RSD Alcalá v CD Coria: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val
1–2
FT
RSD Alcalá 45%Draw 25%CD Coria 30% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.15
50%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72

RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings RSD Alcalá against CD Coria at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

RSD Alcalá, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Quintanar del Rey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

CD Coria, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Elche II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for CD Coria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.6 xG, CD Coria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 45%, draw 25%, CD Coria 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–1 CD Coria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RSD Alcalá45%fair 2.22 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
CD Coria30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
2.73Expected goals
1.58RSD Alcalá xG
1.15CD Coria xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.6 – 1.2 CD Coria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RSD AlcaláCD Coria
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average+1%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+7%
Our expected goals here1.811.20

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRSD Alcalá to win ✗45%2.222.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betRSD Alcalá (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapCD Coria +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreRSD Alcalá to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.72–

Recent results

RSD Alcalá – last 6

DWWWWW
26 Apr@ Quintanar del Rey0–0D
19 Aprvs Rayo Vallecano II3–0W
12 Apr@ Fuenlabrada2–0W
5 Aprvs Las Palmas II2–1W
29 Mar@ Rayo Majadahonda2–1W
22 Marvs Navalcarnero1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CD Coria – last 6

WLWWLD
26 Aprvs Elche II4–0W
19 Apr@ Tenerife II0–4L
5 Apr@ Real Madrid III3–2W
15 Marvs Intercity1–0W
8 Mar@ Getafe II1–4L
1 Marvs SS Reyes1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and CD Coria.

RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria?

On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Coria 30%.

How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria?

Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 CD Coria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria?

RSD Alcalá vs CD Coria (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.