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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Socuéllamos v Las Palmas II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Estadio Paquito Jiménez

Socuéllamos

WLLWW
1–1
FT

Las Palmas II

WLLLD
Socuéllamos 38%Draw 24%Las Palmas II 38% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.28
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.73Odds
1

Value bet: Socuéllamos to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLas Palmas II to win ✗38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.95

Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Socuéllamos v Las Palmas II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.

Current form

Socuéllamos, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rayo Vallecano II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Las Palmas II, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orihuela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Socuéllamos 1.5 xG, Las Palmas II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Socuéllamos 38%, draw 24%, Las Palmas II 38%.
  • Price worth noting: Socuéllamos to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Socuéllamos 2–1 Las Palmas II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Socuéllamos38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Las Palmas II38%fair 2.62 · @2.00
2.75Expected goals
1.47Socuéllamos xG
1.28Las Palmas II xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Socuéllamos 1.5 – 1.3 Las Palmas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SocuéllamosLas Palmas II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average-2%-12%
Goals conceded vs average+15%+1%
Our expected goals here1.671.18

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Palmas II to win ✗38%2.622.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betLas Palmas II (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapLas Palmas II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreSocuéllamos to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Socuéllamos / FT Socuéllamos ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.95–

Recent results

Socuéllamos – last 6

WLLWWL
26 Apr@ Rayo Vallecano II2–0W
19 Aprvs Fuenlabrada2–3L
5 Aprvs Tenerife II0–3L
22 Marvs Quintanar del Rey3–1W
8 Marvs Navalcarnero1–0W
1 Mar@ RSD Alcalá1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Las Palmas II – last 6

WLLLDW
26 Aprvs Orihuela2–1W
19 Apr@ Getafe II0–3L
11 Aprvs Real Madrid III0–1L
5 Apr@ RSD Alcalá1–2L
29 Marvs Intercity0–0D
22 Mar@ Colonia Moscardó2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Socuéllamos and Las Palmas II.

Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT Intercity2 Colonia Moscardó0 157%1.40X24%4.00219%6.80 1.6–1.0xG 1Intercity to win 57%@1.40 ✓
FT Elche II1 Quintanar del Rey3 154%1.65X25%3.55222%4.33 1.7–1.2xG 1Elche II to win 54%@1.65 ✗
FT Navalcarnero3 Fuenlabrada1 150%2.05X24%3.10225%3.20 1.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.65 ✗
FT Orihuela2 Getafe II1 146%2.20X25%3.10229%2.95 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.65 ✗
FT Rayo Majadahonda3 Rayo Vallecano II0 177%1.10X17%6.2027%21.00 2.2–0.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.50 ✓
FT Real Madrid III0 Conquense1 150%1.64X28%3.40221%4.60 1.3–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 59%@1.65 ✓
FT RSD Alcalá1 CD Coria2 145%2.30X25%3.10230%2.80 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✗
FT Tenerife II1 SS Reyes3 135%3.20X25%3.25240%2.00 1.4–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?

On our numbers Socuéllamos have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Palmas II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?

Our predicted score is Socuéllamos 2–1 Las Palmas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?

Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.