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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Madrid III v Conquense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain · Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid III

WWWLW
0–1
FT

Conquense

WLDWW
Real Madrid III 50%Draw 28%Conquense 21% Expected goals 1.26 – 0.92
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Madrid III to win ✗50% · @1.64
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✗79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05

Real Madrid III vs Conquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Real Madrid III v Conquense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, played at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3. In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Conquense are 4th (among the top four) with 18.

Current form

Real Madrid III, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over SS Reyes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Conquense, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tenerife II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.3 xG, Conquense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 50%, draw 28%, Conquense 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–0 Conquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Madrid III50%fair 2.00 · @1.64
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.40
Conquense21%fair 4.66 · @4.60
2.19Expected goals
1.26Real Madrid III xG
0.92Conquense xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.3 – 0.9 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real Madrid IIIConquense
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average-38%+37%
Goals conceded vs average-43%-14%
Our expected goals here0.900.91

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid III to win ✗50%2.001.64
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✗79%1.271.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Draw no betReal Madrid III (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapConquense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreReal Madrid III to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.05–

Recent results

Real Madrid III – last 6

WWWLWW
26 Apr@ SS Reyes3–0W
14 Aprvs Colonia Moscardó1–0W
11 Apr@ Las Palmas II1–0W
5 Aprvs CD Coria2–3L
15 Mar@ Quintanar del Rey2–1W
8 Marvs Tenerife II4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Conquense – last 6

WLDWWW
26 Aprvs Tenerife II1–0W
19 Apr@ Navalcarnero0–2L
5 Apr@ Orihuela2–2D
15 Marvs Colonia Moscardó3–0W
8 Mar@ Intercity2–0W
1 Marvs Las Palmas II3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Conquense.

Real Madrid III vs Conquense head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
FT Intercity2 Colonia Moscardó0 157%1.40X24%4.00219%6.80 1.6–1.0xG 1Intercity to win 57%@1.40 ✓
FT Elche II1 Quintanar del Rey3 154%1.65X25%3.55222%4.33 1.7–1.2xG 1Elche II to win 54%@1.65 ✗
FT Navalcarnero3 Fuenlabrada1 150%2.05X24%3.10225%3.20 1.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@1.65 ✗
FT Orihuela2 Getafe II1 146%2.20X25%3.10229%2.95 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.65 ✗
FT Rayo Majadahonda3 Rayo Vallecano II0 177%1.10X17%6.2027%21.00 2.2–0.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.50 ✓
FT RSD Alcalá1 CD Coria2 145%2.30X25%3.10230%2.80 1.6–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✗
FT Socuéllamos1 Las Palmas II1 138%3.10X24%3.40238%2.00 1.5–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.73 ✗
FT Tenerife II1 SS Reyes3 135%3.20X25%3.25240%2.00 1.4–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Conquense 21%.

How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–0 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Madrid III vs Conquense?

Real Madrid III vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.