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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pineto v Forli: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani

Forli

Pineto 38%Draw 28%Forli 33% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.09

78%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPineto to win ✓38% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.58

Pineto vs Forli: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 4 March the Serie C Girone B brings Pineto against Forli at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Pineto are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Forli are 14th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pineto 1.2 xG, Forli 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pineto 38%, draw 28%, Forli 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pineto 1–1 Forli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pineto38%fair 2.62 · @2.30

Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10

Forli33%fair 2.99 · @2.95

2.30Expected goals

1.20Pineto xG

1.09Forli xG

53%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Pineto 1.2 – 1.1 Forli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Pineto	Forli
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average	-30%	-6%
Goals conceded vs average	-15%	+13%
Our expected goals here	1.07	0.96

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pineto to win ✓	38%	2.62	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.39	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.83
Draw no bet	Pineto (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.88	–
Asian handicap	Forli +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Pineto to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pineto / FT Pineto ✓	22%	4.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.58	–

Recent results

Pineto – last 2

21 Feb	@ Livorno	0–1	L
16 Feb	vs Ternana	0–3	L

0.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Forli – last 2

23 Feb	@ Ternana	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pineto and Forli.

Pineto vs Forli head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	+19	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	+17	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Reggiana	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	+1	20
9	Campobasso FC	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Atalanta II	13	6	0	7	-3	18
11	Pineto	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Perugia	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Vado	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Forli	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Latina	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Pianese	13	2	7	4	-3	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	-9	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	-16	5

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub

Gubbio2

Athletic Carpi1 138%2.10X27%3.00235%3.40 1.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Pontedera0

Juventus U231 134%2.75X27%3.20239%2.40 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Vis Pesaro2

Bra1 145%1.85X26%3.30228%3.85 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Livorno1

Perugia2 142%2.33X25%3.10232%2.85 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✓

Torres2

Guidonia Montecelio 19371 150%1.95X29%3.00221%3.90 1.3–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✗

Ravenna0

Pianese0 160%1.67X25%3.45215%4.80 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Arezzo1

Ternana2 153%1.77X25%3.20222%4.40 1.5–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓

Sambenedettese0

Ascoli1 127%3.50X26%3.10247%2.05 1.0–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pineto vs Forli?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pineto vs Forli?

On our numbers Pineto have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Forli 33%.

How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Forli?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pineto vs Forli?

Our predicted score is Pineto 1–1 Forli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Pineto vs Forli?

Pineto vs Forli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.