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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sambenedettese v Ascoli: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme

Ascoli

Sambenedettese 27%Draw 26%Ascoli 47% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.40

66%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.48Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAscoli to win ✓47% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Sambenedettese vs Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 4 March the Serie C Girone B brings Sambenedettese against Ascoli at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sambenedettese 1.0 xG, Ascoli 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sambenedettese 27%, draw 26%, Ascoli 47%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambenedettese 1–1 Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sambenedettese27%fair 3.70 · @3.50

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10

Ascoli47%fair 2.13 · @2.05

2.42Expected goals

1.02Sambenedettese xG

1.40Ascoli xG

52%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–09%

1–29%

0–09%

0–29%

From our goals model: Sambenedettese 1.0 – 1.4 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Sambenedettese	Ascoli
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average	+1%	+13%
Goals conceded vs average	+17%	-13%
Our expected goals here	1.19	1.58

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ascoli to win ✓	47%	2.13	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Ascoli (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	Sambenedettese +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Ascoli to score first ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli ✗	27%	3.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.24	–

Recent results

Sambenedettese – last 1

15 Feb

vs Torres

1–2

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Ascoli – last 2

22 Feb	@ Pontedera	3–1	W
15 Feb	@ Bra	3–1	W

3.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sambenedettese and Ascoli.

Sambenedettese vs Ascoli head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	+19	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	+17	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Reggiana	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	+1	20
9	Campobasso FC	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Atalanta II	13	6	0	7	-3	18
11	Pineto	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Perugia	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Vado	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Forli	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Latina	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Pianese	13	2	7	4	-3	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	-9	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	-16	5

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub

Gubbio2

Athletic Carpi1 138%2.10X27%3.00235%3.40 1.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Pontedera0

Juventus U231 134%2.75X27%3.20239%2.40 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Vis Pesaro2

Bra1 145%1.85X26%3.30228%3.85 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Livorno1

Perugia2 142%2.33X25%3.10232%2.85 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✓

Torres2

Guidonia Montecelio 19371 150%1.95X29%3.00221%3.90 1.3–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✗

Ravenna0

Pianese0 160%1.67X25%3.45215%4.80 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Pineto3

Forli2 138%2.30X28%3.10233%2.95 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗

Arezzo1

Ternana2 153%1.77X25%3.20222%4.40 1.5–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?

On our numbers Sambenedettese have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ascoli 47%.

How many goals will there be in Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?

Our predicted score is Sambenedettese 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?

Sambenedettese vs Ascoli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.