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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arezzo v Ternana: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Citta di Arezzo
1–2
FT
Arezzo 53%Draw 25%Ternana 22% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.95
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultArezzo to win ✗53% · @1.77
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✗78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Arezzo vs Ternana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Arezzo v Ternana in the Serie C Girone B, played at Citta di Arezzo.

Current form

Ternana, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Campobasso FC, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arezzo 1.5 xG, Ternana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arezzo 53%, draw 25%, Ternana 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arezzo or draw (78%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arezzo 1–1 Ternana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arezzo53%fair 1.89 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Ternana22%fair 4.59 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.53Arezzo xG
0.95Ternana xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Arezzo 1.5 – 0.9 Ternana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ArezzoTernana
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average+5%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-14%+15%
Our expected goals here1.631.11

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArezzo to win ✗53%1.891.77
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✗78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.812.10 ▲
Draw no betArezzo (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapTernana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreArezzo to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arezzo / FT Arezzo ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Arezzo – last 2

DW
1 Marvs Ravenna1–1D
21 Feb@ Gubbio1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ternana – last 3

LWW
1 Marvs Campobasso FC2–4L
23 Febvs Forli2–1W
16 Feb@ Pineto3–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Ternana.

Arezzo vs Ternana head-to-head page →

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arezzo vs Ternana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Arezzo vs Ternana?

On our numbers Arezzo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ternana 22%.

How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Ternana?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Ternana?

Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Ternana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Arezzo vs Ternana?

Arezzo vs Ternana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.