Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArezzo to win ✗53% · @1.77
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✗78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Arezzo vs Ternana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Arezzo v Ternana in the Serie C Girone B, played at Citta di Arezzo.
Current form
Ternana, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Campobasso FC, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arezzo 1.5 xG, Ternana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arezzo 53%, draw 25%, Ternana 22%.
Lower-risk option: Arezzo or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arezzo 1–1 Ternana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arezzo53%fair 1.89 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Ternana22%fair 4.59 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.53Arezzo xG
0.95Ternana xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.5 – 0.9 Ternana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arezzo
Ternana
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+5%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.63
1.11
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arezzo to win✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Double chance
Arezzo or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Arezzo (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Ternana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Arezzo to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arezzo / FT Arezzo✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Arezzo – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Gubbio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ternana – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Campobasso FC
2–4
L
23 Feb
vs Forli
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Pineto
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Ternana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ternana?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ternana 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Ternana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Ternana?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Ternana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Ternana?
Arezzo vs Ternana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.