Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34% · fair 25.25
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mineros de Fresnillo welcome Leones Negros to Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 14 March (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Fresnillo 1.3 xG, Leones Negros 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Fresnillo 32%, draw 20%, Leones Negros 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Fresnillo 1–2 Leones Negros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Fresnillo32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Leones Negros48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.86Expected goals
1.25Mineros de Fresnillo xG
1.61Leones Negros xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 1.3 – 1.6 Leones Negros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones Negros to win
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Leones Negros (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Fresnillo +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Leones Negros to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones Negros / FT Leones Negros
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
4%
25.25
–
Recent results
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Los Cabos United
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones Negros – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Durango
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and Leones Negros.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leones Negros 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 1–2 Leones Negros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Celaya
Cimarrones2
Colima0
Chilpancingo
Zitacuaro
Pioneros de Cancún
Deportiva Venados
UA Zacatecas
Tritons Vallarta
Sporting Canamy
Inter Playa del Carmen2
Chapulineros1