Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chilpancingo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultChilpancingo to win63% · @1.85
Double chanceChilpancingo or draw86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.55
Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zitacuaro travel to face Chilpancingo on Saturday 14 March in the Liga Premier Serie A, with Cancha Vicente Guerrero the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chilpancingo 1.8 xG, Zitacuaro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chilpancingo 63%, draw 24%, Zitacuaro 14%.
Lower-risk option: Chilpancingo or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Chilpancingo to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chilpancingo or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chilpancingo 1–0 Zitacuaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chilpancingo63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.25
Zitacuaro14%fair 7.40 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.76Chilpancingo xG
0.69Zitacuaro xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chilpancingo 1.8 – 0.7 Zitacuaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chilpancingo to win
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Chilpancingo or draw
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Chilpancingo (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Chilpancingo -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chilpancingo to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Chilpancingo ahead at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chilpancingo / FT Chilpancingo
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.55
–
Recent results
Chilpancingo – last 1
W
6 Mar
@ Atletico Hidalgo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zitacuaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chilpancingo and Zitacuaro.
What is the prediction for Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Our pick is Chilpancingo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
On our numbers Chilpancingo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zitacuaro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Our predicted score is Chilpancingo 1–0 Zitacuaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro?
Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha Vicente Guerrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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