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Pioneros de Cancún v Deportiva Venados: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Cancún 86

Deportiva Venados

Pioneros de Cancún 37%Draw 22%Deportiva Venados 41% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.42

56%

Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.85

4/10Rating

1.85Odds

Value bet: Pioneros de Cancún to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDeportiva Venados to win41% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · fair 1.84

GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.18

Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pioneros de Cancún welcome Deportiva Venados to Estadio Cancún 86 for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 14 March (22:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pioneros de Cancún 1.7 xG, Deportiva Venados 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pioneros de Cancún 37%, draw 22%, Deportiva Venados 41%.
Price worth noting: Pioneros de Cancún to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pioneros de Cancún 2–1 Deportiva Venados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pioneros de Cancún37%fair 2.67 · @3.00

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60

Deportiva Venados41%fair 2.44 · @1.95

3.12Expected goals

1.70Pioneros de Cancún xG

1.42Deportiva Venados xG

54%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

2–26%

2–06%

From our goals model: Pioneros de Cancún 1.7 – 1.4 Deportiva Venados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportiva Venados to win	41%	2.44	1.95
Double chance	Either team to win	78%	1.28	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Deportiva Venados (draw no bet)	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Deportiva Venados +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	80%	1.26	–
First team to score	Pioneros de Cancún to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	39%	2.59	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pioneros de Cancún / FT Pioneros de Cancún	27%	3.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	8%	13.18	–

Recent results

Pioneros de Cancún

No recent results on record.

Deportiva Venados – last 2

1 Mar	@ Montañeses	0–0	D
13 Feb	@ Héroes de Zaci	4–1	W

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pioneros de Cancún and Deportiva Venados.

Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados head-to-head page →

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

FC Santiago1

Calor de San Pedro0 170%1.50X19%3.50212%6.00 2.4–0.7xG 1FC Santiago to win 70%@1.50 ✓

–

Héroes de Zaci

Celaya 119%6.00X20%5.00261%1.35 1.1–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.62

Cimarrones2

Colima0 168%1.14X17%7.00215%13.00 2.0–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.67 ✗

–

Mineros de Fresnillo

Leones Negros 132%2.80X20%3.60248%2.10 1.3–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.75

–

Chilpancingo

Zitacuaro 163%1.85X24%3.25214%3.75 1.8–0.7xG 1XChilpancingo or draw 86%@1.20

–

UA Zacatecas

Tritons Vallarta 120%4.00X20%3.80260%1.62 1.0–1.8xG 2Tritons Vallarta to win 60%@1.62

–

Sporting Canamy

Ciervos 163%1.57X19%4.00218%4.20 2.1–1.0xG 1Sporting Canamy to win 63%@1.57

Inter Playa del Carmen2

Chapulineros1 152%1.48X25%4.00224%5.00 1.5–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados?

On our numbers Pioneros de Cancún have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportiva Venados 41%.

How many goals will there be in Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados?

Our predicted score is Pioneros de Cancún 2–1 Deportiva Venados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados?

Pioneros de Cancún vs Deportiva Venados (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cancún 86.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.