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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Santiago v Calor de San Pedro: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Complejo Capilla Soccer Park
FC Santiago 70%Draw 19%Calor de San Pedro 12% Expected goals 2.40 – 0.75
70%
Betarazi pick

FC Santiago to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Santiago to win ✓70% · @1.50
Double chanceFC Santiago or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83

FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Santiago welcome Calor de San Pedro to Complejo Capilla Soccer Park for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 14 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, FC Santiago are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Calor de San Pedro are 7th (upper half) with 16.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Santiago 2.4 xG, Calor de San Pedro 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Santiago 70%, draw 19%, Calor de San Pedro 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Santiago to win (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Santiago 2–0 Calor de San Pedro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Santiago70%fair 1.43 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.50
Calor de San Pedro12%fair 8.49 · @6.00
3.15Expected goals
2.40FC Santiago xG
0.75Calor de San Pedro xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Santiago 2.4 – 0.7 Calor de San Pedro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Santiago to win ✓70%1.431.50
Double chanceFC Santiago or draw ✓88%1.131.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.15 ▲
Draw no betFC Santiago (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapFC Santiago -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreFC Santiago to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultFC Santiago ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Santiago / FT FC Santiago ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

FC Santiago – last 1

W
14 Febvs Deportivo Zap3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Calor de San Pedro – last 1

W
22 Febvs Ciervos3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Santiago and Calor de San Pedro.

FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+420
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro?

Our pick is FC Santiago to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro?

On our numbers FC Santiago have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Calor de San Pedro 12%.

How many goals will there be in FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro?

Our predicted score is FC Santiago 2–0 Calor de San Pedro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro?

FC Santiago vs Calor de San Pedro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.