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Héroes de Zaci v Celaya: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Claudio Suárez

Celaya

Héroes de Zaci 19%Draw 20%Celaya 61% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.96

62%

Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62

5/10Rating

1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelaya to win61% · @1.35

Double chanceCelaya or draw81% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.08

Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Héroes de Zaci v Celaya in the Liga Premier Serie A, played at Estadio Claudio Suárez.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Héroes de Zaci 1.1 xG, Celaya 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Héroes de Zaci 19%, draw 20%, Celaya 61%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Héroes de Zaci 1–1 Celaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Héroes de Zaci19%fair 5.28 · @6.00

Draw20%fair 5.00 · @5.00

Celaya61%fair 1.64 · @1.35

3.05Expected goals

1.08Héroes de Zaci xG

1.96Celaya xG

62%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–210%

0–19%

0–29%

1–36%

0–36%

From our goals model: Héroes de Zaci 1.1 – 2.0 Celaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Celaya to win	61%	1.64	1.35
Double chance	Celaya or draw	81%	1.23	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	62%	1.61	1.62
Draw no bet	Celaya (draw no bet)	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Héroes de Zaci +1.5 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Celaya to score first	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Celaya ahead at half-time	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Celaya / FT Celaya	37%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	10%	10.08	–

Recent results

Héroes de Zaci – last 1

13 Feb

vs Deportiva Venados

1–4

1.0Scored / game

4.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Celaya – last 2

3 Mar	vs Chapulineros	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Racing de Veracruz	0–4	L

0.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Héroes de Zaci and Celaya.

Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Santiago	11	7	1	3	+20	24
2	Acatlan	11	7	1	3	+5	23
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	11	7	0	4	+18	22
4	Mineros de Fresnillo	11	6	3	2	+11	22
5	Correcaminos UAT II	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Vaqueros Reynosa	11	5	2	4	+1	18
7	Guerreros	10	4	2	4	0	15
8	Atlético Saltillo	10	4	0	6	-7	11
9	Real Apodaca	11	3	1	7	-7	9
10	Héroes de Zaci	10	0	1	9	-26	2
1	Dragones de Oaxaca	11	7	2	2	+16	25
2	Artesanos Metepec	11	7	3	1	+14	25
3	Acambaro	11	7	1	3	+17	23
4	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	11	5	3	3	+4	19
5	Halcones Negros	11	5	1	5	+4	17
6	Guerreros del Pacifico	11	4	1	6	+1	17
7	Calor de San Pedro	11	4	1	6	-7	16
8	Real Refineros	11	5	1	5	-5	15
9	Ciervos	11	2	0	9	-27	5
10	Cañoneros Marina	10	0	0	10	-36	0

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

FC Santiago1

Calor de San Pedro0 170%1.50X19%3.50212%6.00 2.4–0.7xG 1FC Santiago to win 70%@1.50 ✓

Cimarrones2

Colima0 168%1.14X17%7.00215%13.00 2.0–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.67 ✗

–

Mineros de Fresnillo

Leones Negros 132%2.80X20%3.60248%2.10 1.3–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.75

–

Chilpancingo

Zitacuaro 163%1.85X24%3.25214%3.75 1.8–0.7xG 1XChilpancingo or draw 86%@1.20

–

Pioneros de Cancún

Deportiva Venados 137%3.00X22%3.60241%1.95 1.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.85

–

UA Zacatecas

Tritons Vallarta 120%4.00X20%3.80260%1.62 1.0–1.8xG 2Tritons Vallarta to win 60%@1.62

–

Sporting Canamy

Ciervos 163%1.57X19%4.00218%4.20 2.1–1.0xG 1Sporting Canamy to win 63%@1.57

Inter Playa del Carmen2

Chapulineros1 152%1.48X25%4.00224%5.00 1.5–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya?

On our numbers Héroes de Zaci have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celaya 61%.

How many goals will there be in Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya?

Our predicted score is Héroes de Zaci 1–1 Celaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya?

Héroes de Zaci vs Celaya (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Claudio Suárez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.