Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Araz vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Araz welcome Zira to Liv Bona Dea Arena for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Friday 27 February (15:00 WAT). In the table, Araz are 12th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Zira are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Araz 1.3 xG, Zira 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Araz 31%, draw 26%, Zira 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araz 1–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Araz31%fair 3.22 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Zira43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
2.75Expected goals
1.25Araz xG
1.50Zira xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Araz 1.3 – 1.5 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Araz +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Zira to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Araz – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Karvan
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zira – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Zira.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Araz vs Zira?
On our numbers Araz have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zira 43%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Zira?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Zira?
Araz vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Liv Bona Dea Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
