Value bet: Sabah FA to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQarabag to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Qarabag vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Premyer Liqa brings Qarabag against Sabah FA at Azersun Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Qarabag are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Sabah FA are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Qarabag, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Newcastle, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.3 xG, Sabah FA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 39%, draw 27%, Sabah FA 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Sabah FA to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qarabag39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Sabah FA34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
2.53Expected goals
1.29Qarabag xG
1.24Sabah FA xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.3 – 1.2 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✗
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Sabah FA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Qarabag – last 3
LLW
24 Feb
@ Newcastle
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Newcastle
1–6
L
14 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Qabala
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qarabag and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sabah FA 34%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Qarabag vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
