Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTuran to win ✗60% · @1.45
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Turan vs Mil-Muğan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Turan v Mil-Muğan in the Premyer Liqa. In the table, Turan are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Mil-Muğan are 8th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Turan, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Qabala, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Turan 1.4 xG, Mil-Muğan 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Turan 60%, draw 26%, Mil-Muğan 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan 1–0 Mil-Muğan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Turan60%fair 1.67 · @1.45
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.90
Mil-Muğan14%fair 6.93 · @6.50
2.05Expected goals
1.42Turan xG
0.62Mil-Muğan xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Turan 1.4 – 0.6 Mil-Muğan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✗
60%
1.67
1.45
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.55
Draw no bet
Turan (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Mil-Muğan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Turan to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.44
–
Recent results
Turan – last 3
WWD
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mil-Muğan – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Keshla FC
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turan and Mil-Muğan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
On our numbers Turan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mil-Muğan 14%.
How many goals will there be in Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Mil-Muğan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
Turan vs Mil-Muğan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
