Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultQabala to win51% · @1.60
Double chanceQabala or draw76% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.38
Qabala vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the Premyer Liqa brings Qabala against Karvan. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Qabala, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Turan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 1.4 xG, Karvan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 51%, draw 25%, Karvan 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 1–1 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qabala51%fair 1.97 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.55
Karvan24%fair 4.10 · @5.20
2.54Expected goals
1.40Qabala xG
1.15Karvan xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qabala 1.4 – 1.1 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qabala to win
51%
1.97
1.60
Double chance
Qabala or draw
76%
1.32
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Qabala (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Karvan +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Qabala to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qabala / FT Qabala
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Qabala – last 3
LDL
24 Feb
vs Turan
0–3
L
20 Feb
@ Sumqayıt
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Araz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qabala and Karvan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Qabala vs Karvan?
On our numbers Qabala have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Karvan 24%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Qabala 1–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Karvan?
Qabala vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
