Neftchi Baku vs Turan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Neftchi Baku welcome Turan to Palms Sports Arena for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Monday 9 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, Neftchi Baku are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Turan are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Turan, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kapaz, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi Baku 1.4 xG, Turan 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi Baku 45%, draw 28%, Turan 28%.
Lower-risk option: Neftchi Baku or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi Baku45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.95
Turan28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
2.24Expected goals
1.35Neftchi Baku xG
0.89Turan xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.4 – 0.9 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win✗
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Neftchi Baku or draw✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Neftchi Baku (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Turan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Neftchi Baku to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Neftchi Baku – last 2
DW
28 Feb
@ Keshla FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Kapaz
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Turan – last 5
WDWWD
5 Mar
@ Kapaz
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi Baku and Turan.
Our pick is Neftchi Baku or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Turan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Neftchi Baku vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
