Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✗58% · @1.40
Double chanceZira or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Zira vs Kapaz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kapaz travel to face Zira on Monday 9 March in the Premyer Liqa, with Zira Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Kapaz are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zira, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sumqayıt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Kapaz, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Turan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zira, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Kapaz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.5 xG, Kapaz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 58%, draw 25%, Kapaz 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–0 Kapaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira58%fair 1.72 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.90
Kapaz17%fair 6.01 · @7.00
2.39Expected goals
1.55Zira xG
0.84Kapaz xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Zira 1.5 – 0.8 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✗
58%
1.72
1.40
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Kapaz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Zira to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Zira – last 3
WWL
3 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kapaz – last 4
LWLL
5 Mar
vs Turan
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Kapaz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Zira vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Zira have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kapaz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Kapaz?
Zira vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
