Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAraz to win ✓53% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.62
Araz vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Friday 13 March: Araz v Karvan in the Premyer Liqa, played at Liv Bona Dea Arena.
Current form
Araz, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Qarabag, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Karvan 0–2 Araz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Araz 1.7 xG, Karvan 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Araz 53%, draw 22%, Karvan 24%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araz 1–1 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Araz53%fair 1.87 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.70
Karvan24%fair 4.10 · @5.25
3.04Expected goals
1.74Araz xG
1.30Karvan xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Araz 1.7 – 1.3 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Araz vs Karvan?
On our numbers Araz have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karvan 24%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Karvan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Karvan?
Araz vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Liv Bona Dea Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
