Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSumqayıt to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Premyer Liqa brings Sumqayıt against Keshla FC at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sumqayıt are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Keshla FC are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Sumqayıt, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Karvan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Keshla FC, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mil-Muğan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumqayıt 1.5 xG, Keshla FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumqayıt 42%, draw 26%, Keshla FC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumqayıt 1–1 Keshla FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumqayıt42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.90
Keshla FC32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
2.79Expected goals
1.51Sumqayıt xG
1.27Keshla FC xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.5 – 1.3 Keshla FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumqayıt to win✗
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Sumqayıt (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Keshla FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Sumqayıt to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumqayıt / FT Sumqayıt✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Sumqayıt – last 5
DLLDL
7 Mar
@ Karvan
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Zira
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Kapaz
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Keshla FC – last 5
DLDDD
8 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Qarabag
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Turan
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumqayıt and Keshla FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Keshla FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Keshla FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC?
Sumqayıt vs Keshla FC (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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