Mil-Muğan 14%Draw 24%Sabah FA 62%Expected goals 0.78 – 1.73
62%
Betarazi pick
Sabah FA to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSabah FA to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sabah FA travel to face Mil-Muğan on Saturday 14 March in the Premyer Liqa, with Quba OIK stadionu the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Mil-Muğan are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Sabah FA are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Mil-Muğan, last 4: DDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Keshla FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sabah FA, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Qabala, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Mil-Muğan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mil-Muğan 0.8 xG, Sabah FA 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mil-Muğan 14%, draw 24%, Sabah FA 62%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sabah FA to win (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mil-Muğan 0–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mil-Muğan14%fair 6.91 · @7.50
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.75
Sabah FA62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
2.51Expected goals
0.78Mil-Muğan xG
1.73Sabah FA xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mil-Muğan 0.8 – 1.7 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Sabah FA (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Mil-Muğan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sabah FA to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Mil-Muğan – last 4
DDDL
8 Mar
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Turan
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Keshla FC
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 4
WDWW
10 Mar
vs Qabala
7–1
W
1 Mar
@ Qarabag
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Qabala
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mil-Muğan and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Sabah FA to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Mil-Muğan have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sabah FA 62%.
How many goals will there be in Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Mil-Muğan 0–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA?
Mil-Muğan vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
