Zira welcome Qarabag to Zira Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Saturday 14 March (16:15 WAT). In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zira, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kapaz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Qarabag, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Araz, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.0 xG, Qarabag 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 24%, draw 27%, Qarabag 49%.
Lower-risk option: Qarabag or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Qarabag or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–1 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira24%fair 4.14 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Qarabag49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
2.42Expected goals
1.04Zira xG
1.38Qarabag xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Zira 1.0 – 1.4 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win
49%
2.06
1.85
Double chance
Qarabag or draw
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Zira +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Zira – last 4
DWWL
9 Mar
vs Kapaz
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Qarabag – last 6
WWDLLW
8 Mar
vs Araz
6–0
W
4 Mar
vs Keshla FC
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs Sabah FA
3–3
D
24 Feb
@ Newcastle
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Newcastle
1–6
L
14 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Qarabag.
Our pick is Qarabag or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zira vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Zira have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Qarabag 49%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Qarabag?
Zira vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
