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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karvan v Zira: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Yevlakh City Stadium
0–1
FT

Zira

DWWL
Karvan 17%Draw 23%Zira 59% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.62
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZira to win ✓59% · @1.30
Double chanceZira or draw ✓83% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Karvan vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Karvan v Zira in the Premyer Liqa, played at Yevlakh City Stadium.

Current form

Karvan, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Araz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Zira, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kapaz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Zira, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Karvan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karvan 1.0 xG, Zira 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karvan 17%, draw 23%, Zira 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.35.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karvan 1–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karvan17%fair 5.73 · @11.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
Zira59%fair 1.69 · @1.30
2.65Expected goals
1.03Karvan xG
1.62Zira xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Karvan 1.0 – 1.6 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZira to win ✓59%1.691.30
Double chanceZira or draw ✓83%1.211.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.35 ▲
Draw no betZira (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapKarvan +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreZira to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zira / FT Zira ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Karvan – last 3

LDL
13 Mar@ Araz1–2L
7 Marvs Sumqayıt1–1D
21 Febvs Araz0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Zira – last 4

DWWL
9 Marvs Kapaz2–2D
3 Marvs Sumqayıt2–0W
27 Feb@ Araz1–0W
20 Feb@ Turan0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Zira.

Karvan vs Zira head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karvan vs Zira?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Karvan vs Zira?

On our numbers Karvan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zira 59%.

How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Zira?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Zira?

Our predicted score is Karvan 1–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Karvan vs Zira?

Karvan vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.