Sabah FA 66%Draw 21%Sumqayıt 13%Expected goals 2.16 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSabah FA to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Premyer Liqa brings Sabah FA against Sumqayıt at Bank Respublika Arena. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Sabah FA are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Sabah FA, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Mil-Muğan, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.4 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sumqayıt, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Keshla FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.3 for Sumqayıt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabah FA 2.2 xG, Sumqayıt 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabah FA 66%, draw 21%, Sumqayıt 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabah FA 2–0 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabah FA66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.33
Sumqayıt13%fair 7.79 · @10.00
3.12Expected goals
2.16Sabah FA xG
0.97Sumqayıt xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sabah FA 2.2 – 1.0 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sabah FA (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Sabah FA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Sabah FA to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Sabah FA – last 5
WWDWW
14 Mar
@ Mil-Muğan
5–0
W
10 Mar
vs Qabala
7–1
W
1 Mar
@ Qarabag
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Qabala
1–0
W
3.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 6
LDLLDL
13 Mar
vs Keshla FC
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Karvan
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Zira
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Kapaz
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabah FA and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Sabah FA have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sumqayıt 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Sabah FA 2–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karvan0