Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the Premyer Liqa brings Neftchi Baku against Imisli FK at Palms Sports Arena. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Neftchi Baku are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Imisli FK are 8th (lower half) with 11. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neftchi Baku, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Qabala, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Imisli FK, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Neftchi Baku, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for Imisli FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi Baku 1.9 xG, Imisli FK 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi Baku 65%, draw 22%, Imisli FK 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi Baku 1–0 Imisli FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi Baku65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.65
Imisli FK13%fair 7.96 · @5.60
2.53Expected goals
1.86Neftchi Baku xG
0.67Imisli FK xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.9 – 0.7 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Double chance
Neftchi Baku or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Neftchi Baku (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Neftchi Baku -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Neftchi Baku to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Neftchi Baku ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Neftchi Baku – last 4
WLDW
15 Mar
@ Qabala
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Turan
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Keshla FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Kapaz
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Imisli FK – last 5
LDDDL
14 Mar
vs Sabah FA
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Turan
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Keshla FC
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi Baku and Imisli FK.
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Imisli FK 13%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
