Qabala travel to face Zira on Sunday 3 May in the Premyer Liqa, with Zira Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Zira, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Turan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Qabala, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sumqayıt, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Zira, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Qabala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.6 xG, Qabala 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 56%, draw 26%, Qabala 18%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–0 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira56%fair 1.79 · @1.77
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Qabala18%fair 5.63 · @4.40
2.43Expected goals
1.64Zira xG
0.79Qabala xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zira 1.6 – 0.8 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win
56%
1.79
1.77
Double chance
Zira or draw
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.90
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Qabala +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Zira to score first
62%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Zira – last 6
DDDDWW
27 Apr
@ Turan
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Turan
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Neftchi Baku
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Şamaxı FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Turan
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Karvan
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Qabala – last 6
LLWLLL
19 Apr
@ Sumqayıt
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Kapaz
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
10 Mar
@ Sabah FA
1–7
L
24 Feb
vs Turan
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Qabala.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zira vs Qabala?
On our numbers Zira have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Qabala 18%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Qabala?
Zira vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
