Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSabah FA to win ✓58% · @1.50
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓80% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Şamaxı FK v Sabah FA in the Premyer Liqa, played at Shamakhi City Stadium. In the table, Şamaxı FK are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sabah FA are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Şamaxı FK, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kapaz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sabah FA, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Karvan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Şamaxı FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şamaxı FK 1.1 xG, Sabah FA 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şamaxı FK 20%, draw 22%, Sabah FA 58%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şamaxı FK 1–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şamaxı FK20%fair 5.07 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.65
Sabah FA58%fair 1.73 · @1.50
2.84Expected goals
1.07Şamaxı FK xG
1.77Sabah FA xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Şamaxı FK 1.1 – 1.8 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sabah FA (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Şamaxı FK +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Sabah FA to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Şamaxı FK – last 6
WDLWDL
26 Apr
vs Kapaz
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Zira
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Araz
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Sumqayıt
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Qarabag
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 6
WWWDWW
27 Apr
vs Karvan
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Qarabag
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Araz
4–2
W
3 Apr
@ Qarabag
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Mil-Muğan
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şamaxı FK and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Şamaxı FK have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sabah FA 58%.
How many goals will there be in Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Şamaxı FK 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA?
Şamaxı FK vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
