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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Turan v Karvan: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Şəhər stadionu

Turan

LDDWD
1–0
FT

Karvan

LLWLL
Turan 62%Draw 22%Karvan 15% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.83
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTuran to win ✓62% · @1.25
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Turan vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karvan travel to face Turan on Sunday 10 May in the Premyer Liqa, with Şəhər stadionu the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Turan, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Qarabag, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Karvan, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Neftchi Baku, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Turan, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Karvan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Turan 1.7 xG, Karvan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Turan 62%, draw 22%, Karvan 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan 1–0 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Turan62%fair 1.60 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.80
Karvan15%fair 6.58 · @12.00
2.54Expected goals
1.71Turan xG
0.83Karvan xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Turan 1.7 – 0.8 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTuran to win ✓62%1.601.25
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓85%1.181.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betTuran (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapKarvan +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.22
First team to scoreTuran to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Turan / FT Turan ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Turan – last 6

LDDWDL
4 May@ Qarabag1–2L
27 Aprvs Zira1–1D
21 Apr@ Zira0–0D
17 Apr@ Araz3–0W
7 Apr@ Imisli FK1–1D
3 Aprvs Zira0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Karvan – last 6

LLWLLL
5 Mayvs Neftchi Baku0–3L
27 Apr@ Sabah FA0–2L
10 Aprvs Kapaz4–1W
6 Apr@ Qarabag0–8L
19 Marvs Zira0–1L
13 Mar@ Araz1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Turan and Karvan.

Turan vs Karvan head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Turan vs Karvan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Turan vs Karvan?

On our numbers Turan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karvan 15%.

How many goals will there be in Turan vs Karvan?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Turan vs Karvan?

Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Turan vs Karvan?

Turan vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Şəhər stadionu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.