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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zira v Sumqayıt: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Zira Stadium

Zira

LDDDD
2–1
FT
Zira 53%Draw 24%Sumqayıt 23% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.07
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultZira to win ✓53% · @1.67
Double chanceZira or draw ✓77% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.62

Zira vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sumqayıt travel to face Zira on Sunday 17 May in the Premyer Liqa, with Zira Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Zira, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sabah FA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sumqayıt, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qabala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Zira 2–0 Sumqayıt.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.6 xG, Sumqayıt 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 53%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–1 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zira53%fair 1.88 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Sumqayıt23%fair 4.43 · @5.00
2.65Expected goals
1.57Zira xG
1.07Sumqayıt xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zira 1.6 – 1.1 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZira to win ✓53%1.881.67
Double chanceZira or draw ✓77%1.291.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betZira (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapSumqayıt +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreZira to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zira / FT Zira ✗29%3.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.62–

Recent results

Zira – last 6

LDDDDD
13 May@ Sabah FA1–2L
8 May@ Imisli FK0–0D
27 Apr@ Turan1–1D
21 Aprvs Turan0–0D
17 Aprvs Neftchi Baku1–1D
7 Aprvs Şamaxı FK1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sumqayıt – last 6

WLLLDL
19 Aprvs Qabala1–0W
5 Aprvs Neftchi Baku1–3L
19 Mar@ Sabah FA1–3L
13 Marvs Keshla FC0–1L
7 Mar@ Karvan1–1D
3 Mar@ Zira0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Zira v Sumqayıt2–0
Zira vs Sumqayıt head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?

On our numbers Zira have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumqayıt 23%.

How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Zira vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.