Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Neftchi Baku travel to face Sabah FA on Sunday 17 May in the Premyer Liqa, with Bank Respublika Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sabah FA are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Neftchi Baku are 1st (leading the league) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sabah FA, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Neftchi Baku, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Karvan, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabah FA 1.7 xG, Neftchi Baku 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabah FA 51%, draw 23%, Neftchi Baku 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabah FA 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabah FA51%fair 1.95 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.55
Neftchi Baku26%fair 3.91 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
1.73Sabah FA xG
1.27Neftchi Baku xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sabah FA 1.7 – 1.3 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Sabah FA (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Neftchi Baku +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sabah FA to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Sabah FA – last 6
WLWWWW
13 May
vs Zira
2–1
W
8 May
vs Kapaz
0–1
L
3 May
@ Şamaxı FK
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Karvan
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Qarabag
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Araz
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Neftchi Baku – last 6
WWDWWW
5 May
@ Karvan
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Qarabag
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Zira
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Sumqayıt
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Imisli FK
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ Qabala
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabah FA and Neftchi Baku.
What is the prediction for Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Sabah FA have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Neftchi Baku 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Sabah FA 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
