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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Araz v Zira: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · SOCAR Polymer Arena

Araz

LLWWL
3–2
FT

Zira

WLDDD
Araz 25%Draw 24%Zira 51% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.60
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultZira to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Araz vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Araz v Zira in the Premyer Liqa, played at SOCAR Polymer Arena. In the table, Araz are 12th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Zira are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Araz, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Turan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Zira, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sumqayıt, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Araz 0–1 Zira.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Araz 1.2 xG, Zira 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Araz 25%, draw 24%, Zira 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araz 1–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Araz25%fair 4.01 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Zira51%fair 1.97 · @1.95
2.77Expected goals
1.17Araz xG
1.60Zira xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Araz 1.2 – 1.6 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZira to win ✗51%1.971.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betZira (draw no bet) ✗67%1.49–
Asian handicapAraz +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreZira to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zira / FT Zira ✗29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Araz – last 6

LLWWLL
17 Aprvs Turan0–3L
7 Aprvs Sabah FA2–4L
18 Mar@ Keshla FC1–0W
13 Marvs Karvan2–1W
8 Mar@ Qarabag0–6L
27 Febvs Zira0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zira – last 6

WLDDDD
17 Mayvs Sumqayıt2–1W
13 May@ Sabah FA1–2L
8 May@ Imisli FK0–0D
27 Apr@ Turan1–1D
21 Aprvs Turan0–0D
17 Aprvs Neftchi Baku1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Araz v Zira0–1
Araz vs Zira head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Araz vs Zira?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Araz vs Zira?

On our numbers Araz have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zira 51%.

How many goals will there be in Araz vs Zira?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Araz vs Zira?

Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Araz vs Zira?

Araz vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SOCAR Polymer Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.