Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kapaz welcome Neftchi Baku to Şəhər stadionu for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Neftchi Baku are 1st (leading the league) with 24.
Current form
Kapaz, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sabah FA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Neftchi Baku, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sabah FA, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Neftchi Baku, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Kapaz.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Kapaz 1–3 Neftchi Baku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 1.0 xG, Neftchi Baku 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 21%, draw 24%, Neftchi Baku 56%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz21%fair 4.85 · @5.10
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
Neftchi Baku56%fair 1.79 · @1.57
2.67Expected goals
0.97Kapaz xG
1.70Neftchi Baku xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kapaz 1.0 – 1.7 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Neftchi Baku 56%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Şəhər stadionu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
