Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSeravezza to win ✗37% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.91
Gavorrano vs Seravezza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Gavorrano v Seravezza in the Serie D Girone E, played at Stadio Romeo Malservisi. In the table, Gavorrano are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Seravezza are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.3 xG, Seravezza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 36%, draw 27%, Seravezza 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Gavorrano to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–1 Seravezza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gavorrano36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Seravezza37%fair 2.72 · @2.18
2.39Expected goals
1.29Gavorrano xG
1.11Seravezza xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.3 – 1.1 Seravezza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gavorrano
Seravezza
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+6%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.41
0.95
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Seravezza to win✗
37%
2.72
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.81
Draw no bet
Seravezza (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Seravezza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Gavorrano to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.91
–
Recent results
Gavorrano – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Seravezza – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Tau Altopascio
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Seravezza.
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Seravezza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Seravezza?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Seravezza 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Seravezza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Seravezza?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–1 Seravezza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Seravezza?
Gavorrano vs Seravezza (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.