Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✗36% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · fair 1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sansepolcro welcome San Donato Tavarnelle to Stadio Buitoni for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sansepolcro 1.1 xG, San Donato Tavarnelle 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sansepolcro 35%, draw 29%, San Donato Tavarnelle 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sansepolcro 1–1 San Donato Tavarnelle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sansepolcro35%fair 2.86 · @2.85
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.05
San Donato Tavarnelle36%fair 2.75 · @2.41
2.08Expected goals
1.07Sansepolcro xG
1.01San Donato Tavarnelle xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sansepolcro 1.1 – 1.0 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sansepolcro
San Donato Tavarnelle
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-17%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.09
0.89
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✗
36%
2.75
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
San Donato Tavarnelle (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
San Donato Tavarnelle +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Sansepolcro to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Recent results
Sansepolcro – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Robur Siena
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Prato
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sansepolcro and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Sansepolcro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and San Donato Tavarnelle 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Sansepolcro 1–1 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Buitoni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Foligno Calcio0
Sporting Trestina1
Poggibonsi0
Grosseto1