Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.97 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.97Odds
Picks by market
ResultRobur Siena to win ✓62% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Robur Siena v Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano in the Serie D Girone E, played at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena. In the table, Robur Siena are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Robur Siena 2.4 xG, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 48% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Robur Siena 62%, draw 19%, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Robur Siena to win (62%, odds 1.97 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Robur Siena 2–0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Robur Siena62%fair 1.62 · @1.97
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.35
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano19%fair 5.16 · @3.54
3.33Expected goals
2.43Robur Siena xG
0.90Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano xG
48%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Robur Siena 2.4 – 0.9 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Robur Siena
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+60%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+39%
Our expected goals here
3.43
0.66
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Robur Siena to win✓
62%
1.62
1.97 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Robur Siena (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Robur Siena -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Robur Siena to score first
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Robur Siena ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Robur Siena – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Sansepolcro
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cannara
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Our pick is Robur Siena to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.97.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
On our numbers Robur Siena have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Our predicted score is Robur Siena 2–0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Foligno Calcio0
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1
Poggibonsi0
Grosseto1