Terranuova Traiana v Foligno Calcio Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTerranuova Traiana to win ✓41% · @2.65

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.37

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19

Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Foligno Calcio travel to face Terranuova Traiana on Sunday 1 March in the Serie D Girone E, with Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Terranuova Traiana 1.2 xG, Foligno Calcio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Terranuova Traiana 41%, draw 27%, Foligno Calcio 32%.
Price worth noting: Terranuova Traiana to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (73%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Terranuova Traiana 1–0 Foligno Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Terranuova Traiana41%fair 2.46 · @2.65

Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.15

Foligno Calcio32%fair 3.10 · @2.44

2.19Expected goals

1.24Terranuova Traiana xG

0.95Foligno Calcio xG

43%Both score

37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–011%

0–111%

2–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Terranuova Traiana 1.2 – 0.9 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Terranuova Traiana	Foligno Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average	+4%	-10%
Goals conceded vs average	-9%	-16%
Our expected goals here	1.34	0.86

Terranuova Traiana

Foligno Calcio

Attack vs Serie D Girone E average

+4%

-10%

Goals conceded vs average

-9%

-16%

Our expected goals here

1.34

0.86

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Terranuova Traiana to win ✓	41%	2.46	2.65 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.75	–
Draw no bet	Terranuova Traiana (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Foligno Calcio +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Terranuova Traiana to score first ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Terranuova Traiana / FT Terranuova Traiana ✓	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	7.19	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Terranuova Traiana to win ✓

41%

2.46

2.65 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

73%

1.37

–

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score ✓

57%

1.75

–

Draw no bet

Terranuova Traiana (draw no bet) ✓

56%

1.79

–

Asian handicap

Foligno Calcio +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

75%

1.33

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

64%

1.56

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

63%

1.60

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

82%

1.22

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

93%

1.08

–

First team to score

Terranuova Traiana to score first ✓

50%

1.99

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

47%

2.11

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Terranuova Traiana / FT Terranuova Traiana ✓

25%

4.05

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0 ✗

14%

7.19

–

Recent results

Head to head

Serie D Girone E table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Prato	11	7	4	0	+13	25
2	Robur Siena	11	7	1	3	+14	22
3	Ternana	11	6	3	2	+12	21
4	Gavorrano	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	Flaminia	11	5	4	2	+2	19
6	Lucchese	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Terranuova Traiana	11	4	5	2	+4	17
8	Tau Altopascio	11	5	2	4	-4	17
9	Montevarchi Calcio	11	5	1	5	+2	16
10	Seravezza	11	4	3	4	+5	15
11	Scandicci	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	San Donato Tavarnelle	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Sasso Marconi Zola	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	Mezzolara	11	1	8	2	-6	11
15	Rondinella	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Grassina	11	1	4	6	-11	7
17	Progresso	11	2	0	9	-16	6
18	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Team

Pts

+13

+14

+12

-4

San Donato Tavarnelle

-2

-2

-6

-8

-11

-16

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 73% chance.

Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio?

On our numbers Terranuova Traiana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Foligno Calcio 32%.

How many goals will there be in Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio?

Our predicted score is Terranuova Traiana 1–0 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio?

Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

22 Feb	@ Prato	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	1–1	D

Terranuova Traiana v Foligno Calcio: numbers & prediction