Poggibonsi vs Grosseto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Poggibonsi welcome Grosseto to Stadio Stefano Lotti for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poggibonsi 1.1 xG, Grosseto 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poggibonsi 24%, draw 25%, Grosseto 51%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.79.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poggibonsi 1–1 Grosseto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poggibonsi24%fair 4.13 · @6.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.40
Grosseto51%fair 1.96 · @1.34
2.46Expected goals
1.14Poggibonsi xG
1.32Grosseto xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–09%
0–27%
From our goals model: Poggibonsi 1.1 – 1.3 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Poggibonsi
Grosseto
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-10%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.20
0.87
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
51%
1.96
1.34
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.79
Draw no bet
Grosseto (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Poggibonsi +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
First team to score
Grosseto to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Poggibonsi – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Foligno Calcio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Orvietana Calcio
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poggibonsi and Grosseto.
What is the prediction for Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Poggibonsi have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grosseto 51%.
How many goals will there be in Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Poggibonsi 1–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Poggibonsi vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Stefano Lotti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Gavorrano1
Seravezza1
Terranuova Traiana2
Foligno Calcio0
Sansepolcro1
San Donato Tavarnelle1
Tau Altopascio0
Sporting Trestina1
Robur Siena4
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1
Scandicci1
Montevarchi Calcio1