Gavorrano 42%Draw 27%Montevarchi Calcio 31%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.96
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultGavorrano to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.38
Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone E brings Gavorrano against Montevarchi Calcio at Stadio Romeo Malservisi. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Gavorrano are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Montevarchi Calcio are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Gavorrano, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Foligno Calcio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Montevarchi Calcio, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tau Altopascio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Montevarchi Calcio, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Gavorrano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.3 xG, Montevarchi Calcio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 42%, draw 27%, Montevarchi Calcio 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gavorrano42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
Montevarchi Calcio31%fair 3.20 · @2.88
2.27Expected goals
1.31Gavorrano xG
0.96Montevarchi Calcio xG
43%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.3 – 1.0 Montevarchi Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gavorrano
Montevarchi Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+6%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.84
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavorrano to win✗
42%
2.39
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Gavorrano (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Montevarchi Calcio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Gavorrano to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.38
–
Recent results
Gavorrano – last 3
LDD
15 Mar
@ Foligno Calcio
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Seravezza
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Montevarchi Calcio – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
vs Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Camaiore
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Orvietana Calcio
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Montevarchi Calcio.
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Montevarchi Calcio 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1