Value bet: Terranuova Traiana to win @ 4.06 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrosseto to win ✓43% · @1.91
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✓72% · fair 1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.60
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Terranuova Traiana welcome Grosseto to Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT).
Current form
Terranuova Traiana, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Donato Tavarnelle, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Grosseto, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Scandicci, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Terranuova Traiana 1.1 xG, Grosseto 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Terranuova Traiana 28%, draw 28%, Grosseto 43%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Terranuova Traiana to win @4.06 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Terranuova Traiana 1–1 Grosseto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Terranuova Traiana28%fair 3.52 · @4.06
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Grosseto43%fair 2.31 · @1.91
2.25Expected goals
1.15Terranuova Traiana xG
1.11Grosseto xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Terranuova Traiana 1.1 – 1.1 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Terranuova Traiana
Grosseto
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+4%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.84
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
43%
2.31
1.91
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✓
72%
1.40
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.88
Draw no bet
Grosseto (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Grosseto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Terranuova Traiana to score first✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Terranuova Traiana / FT Terranuova Traiana✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.60
–
Recent results
Terranuova Traiana – last 4
WWLD
15 Mar
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Foligno Calcio
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Prato
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 4
DWLW
15 Mar
vs Scandicci
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Poggibonsi
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Orvietana Calcio
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Terranuova Traiana and Grosseto.
What is the prediction for Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Terranuova Traiana have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Grosseto 43%.
How many goals will there be in Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Terranuova Traiana 1–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1