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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poggibonsi v Sporting Trestina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone E · Italy · Stadio Stefano Lotti

Poggibonsi

DLWW
1–2
FT

Sporting Trestina

DWWW
Poggibonsi 39%Draw 27%Sporting Trestina 34% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.12
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoggibonsi to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Trestina travel to face Poggibonsi on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone E, with Stadio Stefano Lotti the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Poggibonsi, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Seravezza, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Sporting Trestina, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orvietana Calcio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sporting Trestina, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Poggibonsi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poggibonsi 1.3 xG, Sporting Trestina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Poggibonsi 39%, draw 27%, Sporting Trestina 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.89.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poggibonsi 1–1 Sporting Trestina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poggibonsi39%fair 2.54 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.15
Sporting Trestina34%fair 2.93 · @2.55
2.40Expected goals
1.29Poggibonsi xG
1.12Sporting Trestina xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Poggibonsi 1.3 – 1.1 Sporting Trestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PoggibonsiSporting Trestina
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average-10%+12%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-1%
Our expected goals here1.371.11

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPoggibonsi to win ✗39%2.542.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.36–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.89
Draw no betPoggibonsi (draw no bet) ✗54%1.87–
Asian handicapSporting Trestina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.06
First team to scorePoggibonsi to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Poggibonsi / FT Poggibonsi ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.96–

Recent results

Poggibonsi – last 4

DLWW
15 Mar@ Seravezza2–2D
1 Marvs Grosseto0–1L
22 Feb@ San Donato Tavarnelle1–0W
15 Febvs Foligno Calcio1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Sporting Trestina – last 4

DWWW
15 Marvs Orvietana Calcio1–1D
1 Mar@ Tau Altopascio1–0W
21 Febvs Cannara2–1W
15 Feb@ Camaiore2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Poggibonsi and Sporting Trestina.

Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone E predictions

League hub
FT Gavorrano0 Montevarchi Calcio0 142%2.25X27%3.10231%2.88 1.3–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✓
FT Robur Siena3 Foligno Calcio2 152%2.11X24%3.30224%3.19 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓
FT Prato1 San Donato Tavarnelle0 158%1.70X24%3.40218%4.20 1.6–0.7xG 1Prato to win 58%@1.70 ✓
FT Sansepolcro1 Seravezza1 123%4.33X28%3.25249%1.73 0.9–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Terranuova Traiana0 Grosseto1 128%4.06X28%3.10243%1.91 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Scandicci2 Camaiore1 150%2.01X24%3.25226%3.46 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Tau Altopascio2 Orvietana Calcio1 148%1.85X28%3.40224%3.70 1.3–1.0xG 1XTau Altopascio or draw 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?

On our numbers Poggibonsi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sporting Trestina 34%.

How many goals will there be in Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?

Our predicted score is Poggibonsi 1–1 Sporting Trestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?

Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Stefano Lotti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.