Value bet: Robur Siena to win @ 2.11 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRobur Siena to win ✓52% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Robur Siena v Foligno Calcio in the Serie D Girone E, played at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena.
Current form
Robur Siena, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Prato, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Foligno Calcio, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gavorrano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Robur Siena, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Foligno Calcio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Robur Siena 1.7 xG, Foligno Calcio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Robur Siena 52%, draw 24%, Foligno Calcio 24%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Robur Siena to win @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Robur Siena 1–1 Foligno Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Robur Siena52%fair 1.91 · @2.11
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.30
Foligno Calcio24%fair 4.14 · @3.19
2.63Expected goals
1.72Robur Siena xG
0.90Foligno Calcio xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Robur Siena 1.7 – 0.9 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Robur Siena
Foligno Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+60%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-16%
Our expected goals here
2.06
0.82
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Robur Siena to win✓
52%
1.91
2.11 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.90
Draw no bet
Robur Siena (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Foligno Calcio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Robur Siena to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Recent results
Robur Siena – last 4
DWWW
15 Mar
@ Prato
3–3
D
1 Mar
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Sansepolcro
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cannara
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Foligno Calcio – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
vs Gavorrano
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Terranuova Traiana
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Poggibonsi
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Foligno Calcio.
What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio?
On our numbers Robur Siena have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Foligno Calcio 24%.
How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio?
Our predicted score is Robur Siena 1–1 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio?
Robur Siena vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1