Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPrato to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chancePrato or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.06
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone E brings Prato against San Donato Tavarnelle at Stadio Lungobisenzio. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Prato are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 11 matches; San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Prato, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Robur Siena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
San Donato Tavarnelle, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Terranuova Traiana, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Prato, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for San Donato Tavarnelle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Prato 1.6 xG, San Donato Tavarnelle 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 58%, draw 24%, San Donato Tavarnelle 18%.
Lower-risk option: Prato or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Prato to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Prato58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
San Donato Tavarnelle18%fair 5.66 · @4.20
2.29Expected goals
1.62Prato xG
0.66San Donato Tavarnelle xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Prato 1.6 – 0.7 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Prato
San Donato Tavarnelle
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+29%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.68
0.57
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Prato (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Prato -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Prato to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
6.06
–
Recent results
Prato – last 3
DWD
15 Mar
vs Robur Siena
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sansepolcro
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 4
LDLD
15 Mar
vs Terranuova Traiana
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sansepolcro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Prato to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Prato have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Donato Tavarnelle 18%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Lungobisenzio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1