Atletico Ascoli v Maceratese Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Ascoli to win ✓58% · @1.60

Double chanceAtletico Ascoli or draw ✓82% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.13

Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maceratese travel to face Atletico Ascoli on Sunday 22 March in the Serie D Girone F, with Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Ascoli are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Maceratese are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atletico Ascoli, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Unipomezia, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Maceratese, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Termoli Calcio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Ascoli, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Maceratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Ascoli 1.7 xG, Maceratese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Ascoli 58%, draw 24%, Maceratese 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Ascoli to win (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Maceratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Ascoli58%fair 1.72 · @1.60

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.75

Maceratese18%fair 5.50 · @4.50

2.64Expected goals

1.72Atletico Ascoli xG

0.92Maceratese xG

47%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

0–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Ascoli 1.7 – 0.9 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico Ascoli to win ✓	58%	1.72	1.60
Double chance	Atletico Ascoli or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Atletico Ascoli (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Maceratese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Atletico Ascoli to score first ✓	60%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli ✗	35%	2.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.13	–

Atletico Ascoli – last 4

LWDW

15 Mar	@ Unipomezia	0–1	L
1 Mar	vs Chieti	3–1	W
22 Feb	@ Recanatese	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Castelfidardo Calcio	3–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Maceratese – last 3

LLW

15 Mar	vs Termoli Calcio	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Ancona	0–4	L
22 Feb	vs Notaresco	2–1	W

0.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teramo	11	8	2	1	+13	26
2	L'Aquila	11	7	4	0	+13	25
3	Ancona	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Foligno Calcio	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Vigor Senigallia	11	6	1	4	-1	19
6	Fossombrone	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Montecchio Gallo	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Notaresco	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Real Giulianova	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Atletico Ascoli	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Termoli Calcio	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Lanciano FC	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Maceratese	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Sporting Trestina	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Recanatese	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pietralunga	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Santegidiese	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Angelana	11	2	1	8	-9	7

Team

Pts

+13

+13

+10

-1

-2

-1

-3

-4

-7

-5

-6

-8

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

On our numbers Atletico Ascoli have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maceratese 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

Our predicted score is Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atletico Ascoli v Maceratese: numbers & prediction