Termoli Calcio v Fossombrone Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTermoli Calcio to win ✗38% · @2.46

Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · fair 1.41

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28

Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone F brings Termoli Calcio against Fossombrone at Stadio Gino Cannarsa. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Termoli Calcio are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Fossombrone are 6th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Termoli Calcio, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maceratese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Fossombrone, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sammaurese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Termoli Calcio 1.1 xG, Fossombrone 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Termoli Calcio 38%, draw 29%, Fossombrone 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Termoli Calcio 1–0 Fossombrone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Termoli Calcio38%fair 2.66 · @2.46

Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.95

Fossombrone33%fair 3.00 · @2.80

2.06Expected goals

1.08Termoli Calcio xG

0.98Fossombrone xG

49%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–013%

0–113%

2–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Termoli Calcio 1.1 – 1.0 Fossombrone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Termoli Calcio to win ✗	38%	2.66	2.46
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	71%	1.41	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.91
Draw no bet	Termoli Calcio (draw no bet)	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Fossombrone +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.07
First team to score	Termoli Calcio to score first ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	21%	4.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	7.28	–

Termoli Calcio – last 4

WDLL

15 Mar	@ Maceratese	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs Vigor Senigallia	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Chieti	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Real Giulianova	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

25%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Fossombrone – last 4

WDLL

15 Mar	vs Sammaurese	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Notaresco	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Ostia Mare	0–1	L
15 Feb	@ Teramo	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Teramo	11	8	2	1	+13	26
2	L'Aquila	11	7	4	0	+13	25
3	Ancona	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Foligno Calcio	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Vigor Senigallia	11	6	1	4	-1	19
6	Fossombrone	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Montecchio Gallo	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Notaresco	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Real Giulianova	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Atletico Ascoli	11	4	3	4	+2	15
11	Termoli Calcio	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Lanciano FC	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Maceratese	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Sporting Trestina	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Recanatese	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pietralunga	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Santegidiese	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Angelana	11	2	1	8	-9	7

Team

Pts

+13

+13

+10

-1

-2

-1

-3

-4

-7

-5

-6

-8

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?

On our numbers Termoli Calcio have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fossombrone 33%.

How many goals will there be in Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?

Our predicted score is Termoli Calcio 1–0 Fossombrone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?

Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Termoli Calcio v Fossombrone: numbers & prediction